You dont have Product Sense. You have stories
Hosted by Viveck P Kumar
In this video
What you'll learn
You thought you had product sense. You don’t.
Learn why intuition fails at scale and why product sense without prediction tracking is just hindsight bias in disguise.
The Product Judgment Tool: Calibrate your bets.
Deep dive into the framework that makes you a better Product leader track confidence vs. reality, score your prediction
Catch bad bets before you ship anything.
See how forcing yourself to add probability to every decision reveals overconfidence and saves months of wasted effort.
Why this topic matters
Most products fail at the decision point not execution. PMs ship with 90% confidence, achieve 30% success, then craft retrospectives. AI has compressed product cycles: teams ship faster, fail faster. Calibration is now critical. This session introduces the Product Judgment Tool—a framework to test decisions before outcomes appear. Learn to catch weak bets early and build what separates great PMs:
You'll learn from
Viveck P Kumar
ex VP Product at Circles, PropertyGuru
I’ve spent two decades building and scaling B2C and B2B products used by millions of people. I’ve helped grow companies from tens to hundreds of millions in revenue, and have led product teams at PropertyGuru (NYSE-listed), Intuit (TurboTax), PayPal, and Amazon..
Previously at
Go deeper with a course
How to craft value propositions that actually win before you build

Viveck P Kumar
Product leader with 20 years building and scaling consumer digital products
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